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Premier League: Table, Predictions & Betting
The Premier League table, our model's read on the upcoming fixtures and the best places to bet on it. The standings update from live results every matchday, and every prediction shows its working.
Premier League Table
Current season, live
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Hull | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 | Leeds | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 | Man Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Nott'm Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Spurs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Premier League Predictions, Matchweek 3
| Fixture | Kick-off | Home | Draw | Away | Score | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich v Liverpool | Fri 4 Sept · 20:00 | 51% | 23% | 26% | 1-1 | 61% |
| Newcastle v Bournemouth | Sat 5 Sept · 12:30 | 47% | 21% | 32% | 2-1 | 72% |
| Brentford v Sunderland | Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 | 57% | 23% | 20% | 1-0 | 51% |
| Brighton v Leeds | Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 | 58% | 22% | 20% | 1-1 | 55% |
| Fulham v Crystal Palace | Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 1-1 | 51% |
| Man City v Coventry | Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 | 63% | 20% | 17% | 2-1 | 62% |
| Nott'm Forest v Spurs | Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 | 35% | 27% | 38% | 1-1 | 46% |
| Hull v Aston Villa | Sat 5 Sept · 17:30 | 42% | 24% | 34% | 1-1 | 57% |
| Everton v Man Utd | Sun 6 Sept · 14:00 | 35% | 24% | 41% | 1-1 | 57% |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Sun 6 Sept · 16:30 | 60% | 21% | 19% | 1-1 | 58% |
How the Premier League Works, and How It Bets
20 clubs, 38 matches each. The champion is simply the club with the most points after 38 matches. The top four qualify for the Champions League league phase, with further European places below them. The bottom three drop into the Championship. That structure is what our projections are built around: the zones on this page are the real ones, not a template borrowed from the division above.
The Premier League is the most heavily traded league in the world, which makes it the hardest to beat and the easiest to bet on. Across 380 matches last season it produced 2.75 goals a game: 55% of fixtures went over 2.5, and both teams scored in 56%. The home side won 43%, 27% finished level, and 30% were won on the road.
Those base rates matter more than they look. A model that assumes Premier League scoring in League Two will overprice goals all season, which is why every division here is measured on its own matches before any club is rated. Feed a fixture into the Prognosis Engine and you are pricing it against this division's numbers, not a generic average.
The Shape of a Premier League Season
Thirty-eight matches from August to May, broken up by international windows and a compressed festive programme. The clubs chasing Europe play a second and sometimes a third competition alongside it, so by spring the fixture list, not the table, is often what separates them.
Prices here are corrected within seconds of a team sheet, limits are large, and the same match is traded by thousands of people with better information than a model has. That does not make value impossible, it makes it small, and it makes discipline about staking matter more than cleverness about selections.
The division's own numbers set the frame for every market on it. With 27% of matches drawn and 55% going past two and a half goals, a draw-heavy profile like this rewards patience on the double chance and punishes anyone who assumes every game is an open one. Both teams scored in 56% of them, which is the number to hold in mind before taking a price on a clean sheet, and all of it is measured on 380 completed matches rather than a feeling about how the league plays.
How to Use This Page
The table is the record; the board below it is the forecast. Read them together rather than one after the other: a club five points clear with a hard run-in and a club five points behind with an easy one are closer than the standings make them look, and that difference is exactly what the model prices.
What it cannot see is worth naming. This model reads goals, so it knows nothing about a squad worth ten times another, a January signing who changes a front line, or a manager whose job depends on Saturday. Where you know something the numbers do not, your judgement should beat ours: and where you do not, the fair price is a better starting point than a feeling about form.
The practical route through: check the fixtures below for the coming round, take the model's probabilities as a baseline, then compare them with the price on offer. If the bookmaker is longer than the fair price, you have found something; if not, the honest answer is to pass. Our betting tips only publish the fixtures that clear that bar, and the Scenario Machine shows what each result would mean for the table above.
Premier League Questions
How does promotion and relegation work in the Premier League?
20 clubs play 38 matches each. The champion is simply the club with the most points after 38 matches. The top four qualify for the Champions League league phase, with further European places below them. The bottom three drop into the Championship.
Our Scenario Machine puts a number on each of those outcomes for every club.
How many goals does the Premier League produce?
2.75 a game across 380 matches last season, with 55% going over 2.5 goals and 56% seeing both teams score.
Those are the base rates our football predictions start from before any team strength is applied.
Is home advantage strong in the Premier League?
Last season the home side won 43% of Premier League matches, with 27% drawn and 30% won away.
You can price any fixture yourself, home advantage included, in the Prognosis Engine.
Are the Premier League predictions on this page free?
Yes. Every fixture in the division is priced by our model and published free, with the probabilities and the likely scoreline shown rather than hidden behind a tip.
The strongest calls graduate to our betting tips with a market and a stake.
Where is the best place to bet on the Premier League?
Every bookmaker we rate covers the Premier League in full, but prices and market depth vary, and in the lower tiers that gap widens.
Compare them on our best betting sites page.
Where to Bet on the Premier League
Every bookmaker we rate covers the Premier League in full. For the best prices, deepest markets and fairest cash-out, start with our best betting sites ranking: or grab a free bet to get started. New to it all? The bookmaker finder matches a site to how you bet in under a minute.