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League Two: Table, Predictions & Betting

The League Two table, our model's read on the upcoming fixtures and the best places to bet on it. The standings update from live results every matchday, and every prediction shows its working.

League Two Table

Current season, live

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1 Salford City 11 713 1711 +6 22
2 Barnet 9 630 2212 +10 21
3 Crewe Alexandra 11 560 159 +6 21
4 York City 10 442 1812 +6 16
5 Walsall 10 370 137 +6 16
6 Gillingham 11 443 1613 +3 16
7 Chesterfield 11 434 1715 +2 15
8 Cheltenham Town 11 434 1720 -3 15
9 Bristol Rovers 11 506 1518 -3 15
10 Accrington Stanley 11 353 1615 +1 14
11 Newport County 11 353 1413 +1 14
12 Fleetwood Town 11 353 1211 +1 14
13 Rochdale 11 425 1315 -2 14
14 Shrewsbury Town 11 425 1015 -5 14
15 Grimsby Town 11 344 1313 0 13
16 Exeter City 11 344 66 0 13
17 Tranmere Rovers 11 263 1415 -1 12
18 Swindon Town 11 335 1015 -5 12
19 Oldham Athletic 10 325 1314 -1 11
20 Colchester United 10 253 1013 -3 11
21 Port Vale 9 324 59 -4 11
22 Northampton Town 9 243 67 -1 10
23 Rotherham United 11 245 1218 -6 10
24 Crawley Town 9 126 917 -8 5

League Two Predictions, Matchweek 8

FixtureKick-offHomeDrawAwayScoreO2.5
Bristol Rovers v Exeter City Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 51%27%22%1-041%
Cheltenham Town v Chesterfield Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 39%25%36%1-153%
Fleetwood Town v Rochdale Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 44%27%29%1-142%
Newport County v Grimsby Town Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 39%27%34%1-146%
Rotherham United v Crewe Alexandra Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 35%28%37%1-144%
Shrewsbury Town v Colchester United Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 41%29%30%1-139%
Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 56%25%19%1-046%
Tranmere Rovers v Walsall Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 31%27%42%1-143%
York City v Gillingham Sat 26 Sept · 15:00 60%21%19%2-159%
Oldham Athletic v Salford City Sat 26 Sept · 17:30 45%26%29%1-147%
Crawley Town v Barnet Tue 24 Nov · 19:45 26%25%49%1-151%
Port Vale v Northampton Town Tue 24 Nov · 19:45 45%31%24%1-029%

How the League Two Works, and How It Bets

24 clubs, 46 matches each. The top three are promoted automatically. Fourth to seventh play off for the fourth promotion place. Only the bottom two drop out of the Football League into the National League. That structure is what our projections are built around: the zones on this page are the real ones, not a template borrowed from the division above.

The League Two is the least modelled division in England, which cuts both ways: fewer sharp opinions, but lower limits and thinner prices. Across 126 matches this season so far it produced 2.48 goals a game: 43% of fixtures went over 2.5, and both teams scored in 53%. The home side won 49%, 34% finished level, and 17% were won on the road.

Those base rates matter more than they look. A model that assumes Premier League scoring in League Two will overprice goals all season, which is why every division here is measured on its own matches before any club is rated. Feed a fixture into the Prognosis Engine and you are pricing it against this division's numbers, not a generic average.

The Shape of a League Two Season

Forty-six matches, three automatic promotion places and only two clubs going down, so mid-table safety arrives earlier here than anywhere else. With seven clubs reachable through promotion or the play-offs, more of the division has something to play for deep into the season than the table suggests.

The thinnest prices in the Football League. Outsiders are priced generously and favourites are not always as short as they should be, but limits are small and the market can be slow to publish at all. Treat it as a place to be selective rather than busy.

The division's own numbers set the frame for every market on it. With 34% of matches drawn and 43% going past two and a half goals, a draw-heavy profile like this rewards patience on the double chance and punishes anyone who assumes every game is an open one. Both teams scored in 53% of them, which is the number to hold in mind before taking a price on a clean sheet, and all of it is measured on 126 completed matches rather than a feeling about how the league plays.

How to Use This Page

The table is the record; the board below it is the forecast. Read them together rather than one after the other: a club five points clear with a hard run-in and a club five points behind with an easy one are closer than the standings make them look, and that difference is exactly what the model prices.

What it cannot see is worth naming. This model reads goals, so it knows nothing about loan recalls, a part-time squad juggling cup replays, or a manager resting players for a play-off push. Where you know something the numbers do not, your judgement should beat ours: and where you do not, the fair price is a better starting point than a feeling about form.

The practical route through: check the fixtures below for the coming round, take the model's probabilities as a baseline, then compare them with the price on offer. If the bookmaker is longer than the fair price, you have found something; if not, the honest answer is to pass. Our betting tips only publish the fixtures that clear that bar, and the Scenario Machine shows what each result would mean for the table above.

League Two Questions

How does promotion and relegation work in the League Two?

24 clubs play 46 matches each. The top three are promoted automatically. Fourth to seventh play off for the fourth promotion place. Only the bottom two drop out of the Football League into the National League.

Our Scenario Machine puts a number on each of those outcomes for every club.

How many goals does the League Two produce?

2.48 a game across 126 matches this season so far, with 43% going over 2.5 goals and 53% seeing both teams score.

Those are the base rates our football predictions start from before any team strength is applied.

Is home advantage strong in the League Two?

So far this season the home side won 49% of League Two matches, with 34% drawn and 17% won away.

You can price any fixture yourself, home advantage included, in the Prognosis Engine.

Are the League Two predictions on this page free?

Yes. Every fixture in the division is priced by our model and published free, with the probabilities and the likely scoreline shown rather than hidden behind a tip.

The strongest calls graduate to our betting tips with a market and a stake.

Where is the best place to bet on the League Two?

Every bookmaker we rate covers the League Two in full, but prices and market depth vary, and in the lower tiers that gap widens.

Compare them on our best betting sites page.

Where to Bet on the League Two

Every bookmaker we rate covers the League Two in full. For the best prices, deepest markets and fairest cash-out, start with our best betting sites ranking: or grab a free bet to get started. New to it all? The bookmaker finder matches a site to how you bet in under a minute.