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League Two: Table, Predictions & Betting

The League Two table, our model's read on the upcoming fixtures and the best places to bet on it. The standings update from live results every matchday, and every prediction shows its working.

League Two Table

Current season, live

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1 Bristol Rovers 4 301 116 +5 9
2 Barnet 4 220 95 +4 8
3 Walsall 4 220 84 +4 8
4 Crewe Alexandra 4 220 42 +2 8
5 Oldham Athletic 4 211 73 +4 7
6 Cheltenham Town 4 211 87 +1 7
7 York City 4 211 87 +1 7
8 Colchester United 4 211 55 0 7
9 Swindon Town 4 211 55 0 7
10 Tranmere Rovers 4 130 75 +2 6
11 Grimsby Town 4 130 54 +1 6
12 Fleetwood Town 4 130 43 +1 6
13 Rotherham United 4 121 66 0 5
14 Newport County 4 112 99 0 4
15 Exeter City 4 112 44 0 4
16 Chesterfield 4 112 34 -1 4
17 Crawley Town 4 112 35 -2 4
18 Northampton Town 4 031 23 -1 3
19 Rochdale 4 103 46 -2 3
20 Salford City 4 103 36 -3 3
21 Gillingham 4 031 25 -3 3
22 Shrewsbury Town 4 103 28 -6 3
23 Accrington Stanley 4 022 69 -3 2
24 Port Vale 4 022 26 -4 2

League Two Predictions, Matchweek 5

FixtureKick-offHomeDrawAwayScoreO2.5
Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town Sat 5 Sept · 12:30 57%23%20%1-052%
Salford City v Port Vale Sat 5 Sept · 12:30 51%26%23%1-045%
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 51%25%24%1-047%
Bristol Rovers v Rotherham United Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 56%23%21%1-154%
Cheltenham Town v Grimsby Town Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 36%26%38%1-151%
Chesterfield v Barnet Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 40%27%33%1-146%
Crewe Alexandra v York City Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 40%26%34%1-149%
Exeter City v Walsall Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 38%26%36%1-148%
Northampton Town v Newport County Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 50%25%25%1-150%
Rochdale v Gillingham Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 54%25%21%1-047%
Swindon Town v Colchester United Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 49%25%26%1-150%
Tranmere Rovers v Oldham Athletic Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 31%27%42%1-146%

How the League Two Works, and How It Bets

24 clubs, 46 matches each. The top three are promoted automatically. Fourth to seventh play off for the fourth promotion place. Only the bottom two drop out of the Football League into the National League. That structure is what our projections are built around: the zones on this page are the real ones, not a template borrowed from the division above.

The League Two is the least modelled division in England, which cuts both ways: fewer sharp opinions, but lower limits and thinner prices. Across 48 matches this season so far it produced 2.65 goals a game: 52% of fixtures went over 2.5, and both teams scored in 58%. The home side won 48%, 38% finished level, and 15% were won on the road.

Those base rates matter more than they look. A model that assumes Premier League scoring in League Two will overprice goals all season, which is why every division here is measured on its own matches before any club is rated. Feed a fixture into the Prognosis Engine and you are pricing it against this division's numbers, not a generic average.

The Shape of a League Two Season

Forty-six matches, three automatic promotion places and only two clubs going down, so mid-table safety arrives earlier here than anywhere else. With seven clubs reachable through promotion or the play-offs, more of the division has something to play for deep into the season than the table suggests.

The thinnest prices in the Football League. Outsiders are priced generously and favourites are not always as short as they should be, but limits are small and the market can be slow to publish at all. Treat it as a place to be selective rather than busy.

The division's own numbers set the frame for every market on it. With 38% of matches drawn and 52% going past two and a half goals, a draw-heavy profile like this rewards patience on the double chance and punishes anyone who assumes every game is an open one. Both teams scored in 58% of them, which is the number to hold in mind before taking a price on a clean sheet, and all of it is measured on 48 completed matches rather than a feeling about how the league plays.

How to Use This Page

The table is the record; the board below it is the forecast. Read them together rather than one after the other: a club five points clear with a hard run-in and a club five points behind with an easy one are closer than the standings make them look, and that difference is exactly what the model prices.

What it cannot see is worth naming. This model reads goals, so it knows nothing about loan recalls, a part-time squad juggling cup replays, or a manager resting players for a play-off push. Where you know something the numbers do not, your judgement should beat ours: and where you do not, the fair price is a better starting point than a feeling about form.

The practical route through: check the fixtures below for the coming round, take the model's probabilities as a baseline, then compare them with the price on offer. If the bookmaker is longer than the fair price, you have found something; if not, the honest answer is to pass. Our betting tips only publish the fixtures that clear that bar, and the Scenario Machine shows what each result would mean for the table above.

League Two Questions

How does promotion and relegation work in the League Two?

24 clubs play 46 matches each. The top three are promoted automatically. Fourth to seventh play off for the fourth promotion place. Only the bottom two drop out of the Football League into the National League.

Our Scenario Machine puts a number on each of those outcomes for every club.

How many goals does the League Two produce?

2.65 a game across 48 matches this season so far, with 52% going over 2.5 goals and 58% seeing both teams score.

Those are the base rates our football predictions start from before any team strength is applied.

Is home advantage strong in the League Two?

So far this season the home side won 48% of League Two matches, with 38% drawn and 15% won away.

You can price any fixture yourself, home advantage included, in the Prognosis Engine.

Are the League Two predictions on this page free?

Yes. Every fixture in the division is priced by our model and published free, with the probabilities and the likely scoreline shown rather than hidden behind a tip.

The strongest calls graduate to our betting tips with a market and a stake.

Where is the best place to bet on the League Two?

Every bookmaker we rate covers the League Two in full, but prices and market depth vary, and in the lower tiers that gap widens.

Compare them on our best betting sites page.

Where to Bet on the League Two

Every bookmaker we rate covers the League Two in full. For the best prices, deepest markets and fairest cash-out, start with our best betting sites ranking: or grab a free bet to get started. New to it all? The bookmaker finder matches a site to how you bet in under a minute.